Dominance/Suppression Competitive Relationships in Loblolly Pine (Pinus taeda L.) Plantations

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Dominance/Suppression Competitive Relationships in Loblolly Pine (Pinus taeda L.) Plantations by Michael E. Dyer Dissertation submitted to the Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic Institute and Stand University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Forestry Harold E. Burkhart, Chair Timothy G. Gregoire Marion R. Reynolds, Jr. John A. Scrivani Shepard M. Zedaker November 13, 1997 Blacksburg, Virginia Keywords: Relative Growth Rate, Resource Depletion, Resource Pre-emption, Thinning Copyright 1997, Michael E. Dyer

Dominance/Suppression Competitive Relationships in Loblolly Pine (Pinus taeda L.) Plantations Michael E. Dyer (ABSTRACT) Data from three long-term field studies with loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) plantations were used to examine inequality (Gini coefficient) trends in diameter and the relationship between diameter relative growth rate (r) and initial size. Analysis with two spacing studies shows inequality increases with increasing density. For a given initial density, inequality initially decreases and then begins to increase as trees compete for resources. The slope of the linear relationship between r and relative size also increases with increasing density. The slope is initially negative and switches to positive as competition intensifies. The switch in the slope of the r/size relationship occurs when the crown projection area exceeds 1.05 or when the crown ratio falls below 0.75. These results are consistent with the resource pre-emptive or dominance/suppression theory of intra-specific competition. The r/size trends are not evident when calculations are based on class means as opposed to individual trees. The slope of the r/size relationship is a function of stand height, density, and to a lesser extent, site quality. Density reduction through mid-rotation thinning tends to decrease the slope coefficient. The r/size trends are used to develop a disaggregation model to distribute stand-level basal area growth over an initial tree list. This approach compares well with two other disaggregation models but tends to over predict growth on the largest trees.

Acknowledgments I offer my sincere thanks to Dr. Burkhart for his steadfast support and encouragement during the course of my studies; a student could hope for no better mentor. The members of my committee have been exceptional in providing sage advice. Dr. Shep Zedaker and Dr. Tim Gregoire deserve special mention for their efforts throughout my graduate program. The efforts of my friends and colleagues at Westvaco Corporation in providing the time needed to complete my studies is greatly appreciated. I am indebted to the Loblolly pine Growth and Yield Research Cooperative and the College of Forestry and Wildlife Resources for their financial support throughout my degree program and for providing quality data. The USDA Forest Service, Southeastern Forest Experiment Station also provided data for this study. To my mother and father, who instilled in their sons the importance of working to achieve one s goals - thank you. Finally, I must express my heartfelt thanks to my wife, Susan, and my sons, Nathan and Adam, for their understanding and encouragement during the many hours spent in my graduate studies. iii

Table of Contents List of Illustrations... vii List of Tables... xii Chapter I. Introduction and Objectives... 1 Introduction... 1 Objectives... 2 Variable Definitions and Notation... 3 Chapter II. Development of the Dominance/Suppression Theory of Intra-Specific Competition... 5 Introduction... 5 Size Variation... 8 Skewness... 9 Size Inequality... 11 Size Related Growth Differences... 16 Relative Growth Rate... 16 Relative Production Rate... 18 The Role of Competition... 19 Resource Depletion... 20 Resource Pre-emption... 21 Discussion... 21 Application to Plantation Growth and Yield Modeling... 24 Distributing Stand-Level Growth over Size Classes... 24 Quantifying the Onset of Intra-Specific Competition... 25 Modeling the Response to Silvicultural Treatments... 26 iv

Chapter III. Data and Methods... 28 Data... 28 Coop Spacing Study... 28 Coop Thinning Study... 42 Calhoun Spacing Study... 51 Estimating Relative Growth Rates... 56 Analysis of Repeated Measures Data... 57 Chapter IV. Testing for Dominance/Suppression Relationships in Loblolly Pine Plantations... 60 Introduction... 60 Data and Methods... 61 Testing for Dominance/Suppression... 63 Analysis and Results... 63 Size Inequality... 63 Relative Growth Rates... 72 Discussion... 88 Size Inequality... 88 Relative Growth Rates... 89 Dominance/Suppression and Stand Dynamics... 89 Analysis and Results... 89 Crown Closure... 89 Crown Ratio... 90 Response to Thinning... 92 Discussion... 98 Conclusions... 98 v

Chapter V. A Stand Basal Area Growth Disaggregation Model Based on Dominance/Suppression Competitive Relationships... 100 Introduction... 100 Data and Methods... 102 Model Development... 105 Modeling Dominance/Suppression... 105 Modeling Basal Area Increment... 117 Modeling Basal Area Relative Size... 117 Analysis and Results... 118 Discussion... 126 Conclusions... 127 Chapter VI. Summary and Recommendations... 128 Summary... 128 Recommendations... 129 Literature Cited... 131 Appendix A. Figures of Individual-tree Relative Growth Rates versus Relative Size... 142 Vita... 155 vi

Figure 2.1. Figure 3.1. List of Illustrations Relationship between the Lorenz curve and Lorenz area for a hypothetical population. The gini coefficient is the ratio of the Lorenz area to the area beneath the Line of Equality... Geographic location of the Coop Spacing study in Virginia and North Carolina. Each darkened county contains one installation of the study.... 12 29 Figure 3.2. Stand development trends for location 1 of the Coop spacing study. 33 Figure 3.3. Stand development trends for location 2 of the Coop spacing study. 34 Figure 3.4. Stand development trends for location 3 of the Coop spacing study. 35 Figure 3.5. Stand development trends for location 4 of the Coop spacing study. 36 Figure 3.6. Crown development trends for location 1 of the Coop spacing study. 37 Figure 3.7. Crown development trends for location 2 of the Coop spacing study. 38 Figure 3.8. Crown development trends for location 3 of the Coop spacing study. 39 Figure 3.9. Crown development trends for location 4 of the Coop spacing study. 40 Figure 3.10. Figure 3.11. Figure 3.12. Geographic location of the Coop thinning study. Each highlighted county contains at least one installation of the study... Box and whisker plots of the percent pine basal area removed in thinning treatments for the Coop thinning study... Geographic location of the Calhoun Spacing study in South Carolina. The study is located in the highlighted county.... 45 46 52 Figure 3.13. Stand development trends for the Calhoun spacing study.... 55 Figure 4.1. Mean inequality trends over time for the Coop spacing study... 65 Figure 4.2. Mean inequality trends over time for the Calhoun spacing study... 70 vii

Figure 4.3. Figure 4.4. Figure 4.5. Figure 4.6. Figure 4.7. Figure 4.8. Figure 4.9. Figure 4.10. Figure 5.1. Figure 5.2. Slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size over time for the Coop spacing study.... Slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size over time for the Calhoun spacing study.... Slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size over time for the Coop spacing study. Relative growth rate is calculated via classical growth analysis (mean over an observed interval).... Slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size over time for the Coop spacing study. Relative growth rate is calculated via classical growth analysis (mean over an observed interval) using diameter class midpoints and 20 classes.. Change in the slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size for the first 3-year period following thinning.... Change over time in the slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size for various levels of thinning. For Coop thinning study locations 15-years or younger at time of thinning.... Change overtime in the slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size for various levels of thinning. For Coop thinning study locations older than 15-years at time of thinning.... Change in the slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size following thinning. Compares the change due to growth following thinning to the change resulting from dropping trees on the unthinned plots.... Variance in the slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size for locations 1, 2, and 3 of the Coop spacing study. The estimated variance is based on a sample size of 36 at ages 5 to 11 and a sample size of 35 at ages 12 to 14.... Analysis of studentized residuals from modeling the slope coefficient viii 75 80 86 87 94 95 96 97 109

Figure 5.3. Figure 5.4. Figure 5.5. Figure A.1. Figure A.2. Figure A.3. Figure A.4. with the Coop spacing study locations 1, 2, and 3.... Estimated slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size over time for the Coop spacing study. Model was fit to data from locations 1, 2, and 3.... Error in slope predictions for validation portion of Coop thinning study. Pattern was similar for all random samples comprising a fitting dataset. Residuals for unthinned plots shown as a box and whisker plot... Studentized residuals and predicted slope coefficients for each measurement interval of the Coop thinning study. Diamonds denote unthinned plots, circles denote thinned plots.... (location 1, block 1) of the Coop spacing study. The line (location 1, block 2) of the Coop spacing study. The line of age. (Note: One tree with a relative growth rate of 0.9 is not shown on the 4 x 4 spacing.)... (location 1, block 2) of the Coop spacing study. The line (location 2, block 1) of the Coop spacing study. The line of age. (Note: One tree with a relative growth rate of 1.05 is not shown on the 6 x 6 spacing.)... 110 111 115 116 143 144 145 146 ix

Figure A.5. Figure A.6. Figure A.7. Figure A.8. Figure A.9. Figure A.10. Figure A.11. (location 2, block 2) of the Coop spacing study. The line (location 2, block 3) of the Coop spacing study. The line (location 3, block 1) of the Coop spacing study. The line (location 3, block 2) of the Coop spacing study. The line (location 3, block 3) of the Coop spacing study. The line (location 4, block 1) of the Coop spacing study. The line denote 6-years, triangles denote 8-years, and circles denote 13-years of age. (Note: Two trees with high relative growth rates on the 4 x 4 and 1 tree on the 8 x 8 spacing are not shown).... (location 4, block 2) of the Coop spacing study. The line denote 6-years, triangles denote 8-years, and circles denote 13-years x 147 148 149 150 151 152

Figure A.12. of age. (Note: One tree with rgr=0 at age 5 was not used to fit the line)... (location 4, block 3) of the Coop spacing study. The line denote 6-years, triangles denote 8-years, and circles denote 13-years 153 155 xi

Table 3.1. List of Tables Geographic location and site description of the Coop Spacing study sites (After Amateis et al. 1983).... 30 Table 3.2. Attributes collected on the Coop spacing study listed by age.... 31 Table 3.3. Table 3.4. Table 3.5. Table 3.6. Table 3.7. Table 3.8. Multiple comparison of stand-level attributes for the 8x8 spacing at age 10-years across the four locations of the Coop spacing study. Means followed by the same letter across locations are not significantly different (Scheffe's Test, = 0.05).... Multiple comparison of quadratic mean diameter (Dq) for the Coop Spacing data. Within a location, Dq's followed by the same letter are not significantly different (Scheffe's Test, = 0.05).... Distribution of Coop Thinning study data at installation by age class and site index class.... Distribution of Coop Thinning study data by age class and trees per acre class at installation.... Summary of Coop thinning study at plot establishment. Mean basal 2 area (ft /ac) and quadratic mean dbh (in) based on all 186 plots in each treatment.... Mean cumulative change in stand-level attributes for the Coop thinning study. Includes only those plots remaining at the fourth remeasurement (125 unthinned, 130 light thinned, 129 heavy thinned). Values followed by the same letter within a row are not significantly different (Scheffe s Test, = 0.05)... 41 42 47 48 48 49 xii

Table 3.9. Table 3.10. Table 3.11. Table 4.1. Table 4.2. Table 4.3. Table 4.4. Table 4.5. Table 4.6. Table 4.7. Table 4.8. Table 4.9. Mean periodic change in stand-level attributes for the Coop thinning study. Includes only those plots remaining at the fourth remeasurement (125 unthinned, 130 light thinned, 129 heavy thinned). Values followed by the same letter within a row are not significantly different (Scheffe s Test, = 0.05)... Average stand attributes at age 30-years for the Calhoun Spacing study.... Multiple comparison of diameter and height at ages 5- and 30-years of the Calhoun spacing study. Means followed by the same letter within an age are not significantly different (Scheffe s Test, = 0.05).... Analysis of time contrasts for Gini coefficients from the Coop spacing data at location 1. Ages 5- through 11-years only... Analysis of time contrasts for Gini coefficients from the Coop spacing data at location 2... Analysis of time contrasts for Gini coefficients from the Coop spacing data at location 3.... Analysis of time contrasts for Gini coefficients from the Coop spacing data at location 4... Analysis of time contrasts for Gini coefficients from the Calhoun spacing data... Analysis of time contrasts for the slope of relative growth rate over relative size for the Coop spacing data at location 1. Ages 5-through 11-years only... Analysis of time contrasts for the slope of relative growth rate over relative size for the Coop spacing data at location 2... Analysis of time contrasts for the slope of relative growth rate over relative size for the Coop spacing data at location 3... Analysis of time contrasts for the slope of relative growth rate over relative size for the Coop spacing data at location 4... xiii 50 53 54 66 67 68 69 71 76 77 78 79

Table 4.10. Table 4.11. Table 4.12. Table 4.13. Table 4.14. Table 4.15. Table 4.16. Analysis of time contrasts for the slope of relative growth rate over relative size for the Calhoun spacing data.... Kendall correlation (-) and p-values for a test of independence between relative growth rate and relative size for location 1 of the Coop spacing study.... Kendall correlation (-) and p-values for a test of independence between relative growth rate and relative size for location 2 of the Coop spacing study.... Kendall correlation (-) and p-values for a test of independence between relative growth rate and relative size for location 3 of the Coop spacing study.... Kendall correlation (-) and p-values for a test of independence between relative growth rate and relative size for location 4 of the Coop spacing study.... Comparison between the age where the relationship between relative growth rate and relative size first indicates dominance/suppression and the age where specific values of the crown projection area index are first achieved. Based on 12 4x4, 11 6x6, 10 8x8, and 1 12x12 plot from the Coop spacing study.... Comparison between the age where the relationship between relative growth rate and relative size first indicates dominance/suppression and the age where specific values of the crown ratio are first achieved. Based on 12 4x4, 12 6x6, 12 8x8, and 5 12x12 plots from the Coop spacing study.... 81 82 83 84 85 90 91 Table 4.17. Mean change in slope coefficient three years after thinning and p- values for testing differences between the means. n denotes the number of observations in each group.... 93 Table 5.1. Parameter estimates for equation [5.9] relating the slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size to stand parameters for the Coop spacing study. Parameter estimates based on ordinary least squares weighted inversely proportional to agesquared.... 108 xiv

Table 5.2. Table 5.3. Table 5.4. Table 5.5. Table 5.6. Table 5.7. Table 5.8. Table 5.9. Table 5.10. Age and site index classes used to select a fitting dataset via stratified random sampling... Parameter estimates for equation [5.15] relating the slope of the linear relationship between relative growth rate and relative size to stand parameters for the Coop spacing, Calhoun spacing, and Coop thinning study. Parameter estimates based on ordinary least squares weighted inversely proportional to age-squared.... Parameter estimates for equation [5.10] relating the slope of the linear relationship between basal area increment and initial basal area to stand parameters for the Coop spacing study, Calhoun spacing study, and the fitting portion of the Coop thinning study.... Parameter estimates for equation [5.16] for the Coop spacing study, Calhoun spacing study, and the fitting portion of the Coop thinning study. Parameter estimates based on ordinary least squares weighted inversely proportional to age-squared... Mean residual in individual-tree dbh 12-year projections by dbh size classes.... Mean absolute residual in individual-tree dbh 12-year projections by dbh size classes. Values within a row followed by the same letter a are not statistically different (=0.05).... Median residual in estimating the minimum, mean, and maximum individual-tree diameter for 12-year projections on unthinned and thinned plots.... Top diameter and dbh specifications for merchantable, pulpwood, and sawtimber size trees. All values are outside bark (inches).... Average error index for unthinned (n=89) and thinned (n=186) plots. Based on differences in the number of trees per 1-inch dbh class (weighted by total tree volume). Values within a row followed by a the same letter are not statistically different (=0.05)... 112 114 117 118 120 121 122 124 124 Table 5.11. Median percent error in cubic-foot volume yield estimates by product class for 12-year projections on unthinned and thinned plots. 125 xv