New Zealand s Strategy for a more profitable sheep & beef industry. 5 September 2011 P11026

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New Zealand s Strategy for a more profitable sheep & beef industry 5 September 2011 P11026

Outline New Zealand Production Performance recording translates to industry improvement Summary

New Zealand Production

Key Land Use Changes (commercial farms, excludes lifestyle blocks) 1990-91 2011-12e No. Hill Country Farms 7,500 6,245-17% No. Finishing Breeding Farms 12,100 6,240-48% Hill Country Farms eff. - M ha 6.81 5.98-12% Finishing Breed Farms - M ha 3.27 2.29-30% Dairy Farms 14,685 11,850-19% Dairy - M ha 1.35 2.24 +66% Source: Beef + Lamb New Zealand Sheep & Beef Farm Survey Statistics New Zealand

Key Performance Indicators (commercial farms, excludes lifestyle blocks) 1990-91 2011-12e Lambing % 101.6 % 119.3 % (123.2/111.7%) Kg Lamb/Ewe 9.8 kg 16.4 kg Average Lamb Weight 13.9 kg 18.2 kg Calving % 81.5 % 83.8 % Average Steer Weight 297.3 kg 306.1 kg Source: Beef + Lamb New Zealand Sheep & Beef Farm Survey Statistics New Zealand

2010-11 2012-13f 2008-09 2006-07 Lambing Percentage Trend 130% 120% 110% 100% 90% 80% 1990-91 1992-93 1994-95 1996-97 1998-99 2000-01 2002-03 2004-05 Source: Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service

2008-09 2010-11 Average Export Lamb Weight 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 1990-91 1992-93 1994-95 1996-97 1998-99 2000-01 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 Source: Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service kg

Targeted improvements Lambing % Wool production per sheep Carcase weights [& growth rates] Loss rates Fertiliser per ha or per su Price levels, meat, wool Farm expenditure per ha, su Gross Margins sum of above, farm control farm control farm control farm control farm control low control farm control farm control Rate of Return Debt : Equity land asset, external important if high debt

Pregnancy Scanning The activity of scanning doesn t increase lambing % But the information from scanning enables different management that does increase lambing % Farmer groups for profit - $/ha Top 20% Middle 20% Bottom 20% % of ewes scanned Av. 99.9% Range 90 to 100% Av. 95% Range 50 to 100% Av. 75% Range 0 to 100%

50 Years of Economic Service Analysis Shows The Key Features of Top Farms are: High Lambing % s High Calving % s High Slaughter Weights High Wool Production per Sheep High Survival All impact on economic efficiency All are key Genetic Selection drivers

The influence of SIL on New Zealand s sheep flock performance

Trends in rate of gain Overall index Average rate of genetic gain - $ per year Index rate of change - $ per year 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 Ewe breeds - Black line Meat breeds - Red dotted line SIL SIL-ACE & CPT 0.0 1994 1998 2003 Average rate of gain up to... 2006

Trends in rate of gain Carcass weight CW rate of change - kg per year 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 Average rate of genetic gain - kg per year Ewe breeds - Black line Meat breeds - Red dotted line 1994 SIL SIL-ACE & CPT 1998 2003 Average rate of gain up to... 2006

Trends in rate of gain Number of lambs Average rate of genetic gain - % per year NLB rate of change - % per year 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Ewe breeds - Black line Meat breeds N/A SIL SIL-ACE & CPT 1994 1998 2003 Average rate of gain up to... 2006

Rate of genetic progress Years Period and flock type Meat breed index, $/yr Ewe breed index, $/yr 1990-1994 pre-sil 0.37 0.25 1995-1998 pre-sil 0.34 0.29 1999-2003 SIL 0.61 0.59 2004-2006 CPT + SIL-ACE 0.83 0.92

SIL traits Growth Early growth Early growth + Adult size 1999 2010+ Adult size Meat Reproduction Fat vs Lean Lean Yield Number of lambs Hogget lambing SIL traits Twinning rate Wool Fleece weight Fibre diameter Fine wool quality Lamb Survival Health Parasite Resistance Parasite Resilience FE Tolerance Dags Bareness Ewe longevity Genomic BVs DNA + pedigree / performance data Efficiency

New technologies DNA parentage Pfizer SNPs molecular BVs (mbv) ebv+ mbv= gbv(genomic) Carcase merit assessment Lean meat yield Meat eating qualities

(Re)defining breeding merit Is more always better? Trait windows number of lambs, fatness What about balance across traits? How can we do this better? New online tool addresses these ideas

Genetic Merit - balance OVERALL Growth Meat Wool Reproduction Lamb Survival OVERALL Growth Meat Wool Reproduction Lamb Survival Sheep All-star! A Sheep B 1 trick pony?

esearch Extracting more value from SIL-ACE Until recently, Top 200 sires as Leader Lists for traits & selection indexes posted on internet but wealth of data untapped Two esearch tools on internet FlockFinder identify flocks with genetic information ram buyers want RamFinder find individual animals with specified combinations of genetic merit across BVs & indexes

FlockFinder Identify flocks with the genetic information you want to use in ram selection

RamFinder Find individual animals with specific combinations of genetic merit for BVs & indexes

The Opportunity Summary

Sheep & Beef Farms Farm Profit per ha distribution 25% 20% Farms with losses 1990-91 19,600 Farms, 38% Hill Country % of Farms 15% 10% 1990-91 17% 2008-09 23% 2008-09 12,880 Farms, 48% Hill Country One factor in the distribution change 5% 0% Less than -500 to -400 to -300 to -200 to -100 to 0.00 to 100 to 200 to 300 1990-91 2008-09 to 400 to 500 to 600 Above 650 Source: Beef + Land New Zealand Economic Service Sheep & Beef Farm Survey

Farm profit per stock unit

Aligning industry investment On farm data collection Data storage and management Analysis Targeted research & development Market influence and demand Uptake & adoption

A consolidated industry view Ram Buyer Ram Buyer Industry Industry Investor Investors s Genetic R&D Ram Breeders Genetic Service Providers Sheep Genetics Hub Integrated ed value chains Processo Processors rs

Summary Summary

Summary SIL has made significant contribution to success of the NZ sheep industry Grown in depth and breadth Better use of genetic information Clearly added value to industry

Summary Looking forward Scope to extract greater value Industry breeding objectives will change More complete alignment of genetic, genomic and adoption