Risk analysis : extent, compliance with OIE guidelines and case studies from Africa

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Patrick Bastiaensen Programme Officer Sub-Regional Representation for Eastern Africa World Organisation for Animal Health Risk analysis : extent, compliance with OIE guidelines and case studies from Africa OIE Standards - Facilitating Safe International Trade Nairobi, Kenya, 20 22 March 2018

Agenda Introduction What is the extent What is the compliance What is the nature Conclusions World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 2

Chapter 1 Introduction World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 3

World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 4

59 responses 35 surveys completed 22 countries The Gambia Seychelles Terrestrial animals and animal products only September November 2015 World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 5

World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 6

54 countries 51 missions 51 reports 7 confidential 44 reports scrutinised Terrestrial animals and animal products only São Tomé & Principe Seychelles Comoros Mauritius World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 7

Chapter 2 What is the extent in the use of risk analysis in Africa (questionnaire survey and literature review) World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 8

Scenario 1 Risk analysis done by the exporting country to gain access to foreign markets Target markets are not always (clearly) identified World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 9

Main commodities World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 10

Target diseases FMD btb Bluetongue CBPP LSD HPAI World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 11

Target markets EU Norway Romania Kenya China EU World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 12

Secondary commodities World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 13

Target diseases HPAI PPR rabies ASF AHS, glanders, dourine, piroplasmosis, EIA World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 14

Target markets Tunisia Morocco EU World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 15

Scenario 2 Risk analysis done by the importing country : import risk analysis The exporting country = African country World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 16

Main commodities as reported by countries World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 17

Exporting countries as reported by countries Tanzania Tanzania, Morocco Algeria, Morocco, South Africa Cote d Ivoire World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 18

Importing countries as reported by countries Zambia Australia, EU, Morocco, Tunisia EU, USA China World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 19

Other commodities from the literature World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 20

Other commodities from the literature Live cattle Live ruminants Live horses Beef, lamb, game meat Semen World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 21

Importing countries from the literature EU USA EU USA Francedomtom EU EU USA EU World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 22

Target diseases from the literature FMD BSE RVF FMD Enterobactariaceae RVF Salmonella EU AHS glanders EEV EVA EIA dourine World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 23

Other commodities from the literature World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 24

Other commodities from the literature Ratites, game meat Crocodile meat Live sable antelope World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 25

Importing countries from the literature EU Australia EU South Africa World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 26

Target diseases from the literature Chlamydia spp. Mycoplasma spp. Salmonella spp. E.coli Adenovirus (like) Trichinella spp. etc Newcastle Influenza(s) Salmonella spp Mycoplasma spp Anthrax AAT btb Brucellosis CBPP Bluetongue RVF FMD PPR Rabies World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 27

Scenario 3 Risk analysis done by the importing country : import risk analysis The importing country = African country World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 28

Main commodities as reported by countries World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 29

Exporting countries Kenya Australia, Brazil, EU, India, NZ as reported by importing countries Australia Cabo Verde, Latvia, Mongolia, Ukraine Burkina, China, Ghana, Nigeria World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 30

Scenario 4 Risk analysis done by a country to clarify other sanitary harzards for the purposes of the domestic market, consumers World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 31

Main commodities/hazards As repo rted by countries World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 32

Target diseases btb Brucellosis Leucosis As repo rted by countries? HPAI World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 33

Main commodities/hazards from the literature World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 34

Target diseases from the literature avian influenza E.coli O157:H7 AHS HPAI (avian influenza) FMD World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 35

Countries commissioning the R/A from the literature Uganda South Africa Kenya, South Africa Swaziland South Africa World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 36

Chapter 3 What is the compliance with OIE guidelines on risk analysis in Africa (analysis of PVS mission reports) World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 37

Analysis of PVS reports 2006-2015 CC II.3. «Risk analysis» The authority and capability of the VS to base its risk management measures on risk assessment. LoA Definition 1. Risk management measures are not usually supported by risk assessment. 2. The VS compile and maintain data but do not have the capability to carry out risk analysis. Some risk management measures are based on risk assessment. 3. The VS compile and maintain data and have the capability to carry out risk analysis. The majority of risk management measures are based on risk assessment. 4. The VS conduct risk analysis in compliance with relevant OIE standards, and base their risk management measures on the outcomes of risk assessment. 5. The VS are consistent in basing sanitary measures on risk assessment, and in communicating their procedures and outcomes internationally, meeting all their OIE (and WTO SPS Agreement, where applicable) obligations. World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 38

14 12 10 8 Missions (reports) Total : 44 countries 6 4 2 0 Y 2006 Y 2007 Y 2008 Y 2009 Y 2010 Y 2011 Y 2012 Y 2013 Y 2014 Y 2015 World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 39

Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 3 19 Level 5 Level 4 Level 3 Level 2 22 Level 1 0 5 10 15 20 25 World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 40

90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Central Eastern Northern Southern Western Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 41

Common findings LoA 1 No evidence of documented risk analysis No staff, no trained staff, trained staff moved LoA 2 (better than LoA 1) Data collection ongoing Trained staff, staff is being trained Import risk analysis is done Domestic risk analysis is done Understanding the science, supporting laws World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 42

Common findings LoA 1 No evidence of documented risk analysis No staff, no trained staff, trained staff moved LoA 2 (not good enough for LoA 3) No genuine risk analysis, poorly documented No formal procedures to trigger when to do No properly qualified staff No dedicated risk analysis unit Too much focus on import risk analysis World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 43

Chapter 4 Additional considerations and conclusions World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 44

Considerations PVS Tool assesses all types of risk analysis Standards define import risk analysis only Government service Semi-autonomous agency (EFSA, ANSES) Private service providers (outsourcing)..no need to conduct risk analysis, OIE and Codex have it all covered World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 45

Considerations What is the value of copy and paste? (European and Australian Risk analysis reports are frequently extrapolated for decision-making in third countries) Choices of methodologies (OIE Handbooks, OIE / IUCN, FAO, CAC, ) World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 46

Considerations Rationale for capacity-building and availability of national training providers (ILRI Kenya, UP South Africa, SUA and TAWIRI Tanzania) Other quoted foreign sources of training providers : COVAB, Makerere Uganda SMSVM, UNZA, Zambia EISMV, UCAD, Senegal AU-IBAR, Nairobi, Kenya UEMOA, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso REMESA, Tunisia (Mediterranean) OIE FAO EFSA, Parma, Italy (Mediterranean) USDA-APHIS, United States CIRAD, Montpellier, France EDES Project, COLEACP, Brussels BTSF Project, European Commission ENVA, Maisons-Alfort, France World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 47

Conclusions Performance of Veterinary Services 93% of countries are at LoA 1 or 2 Overall lack of technical capacity, capability Lack of documented evidence Lack of staff, lack of trained staff Blanket bans, not based on science World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 48

Conclusions The extent of risk analysis conducted in Africa Small number of reports encountered, from a small number of countries. Mostly qualitative risk assessments encountered, often incomplete/partial. Quantitative risk assessments serve research purposes mostly (CIRAD, UP, ILRI). Many assessments are generic, not disease, country or even species specific. World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 49

Conclusions The extent of risk analysis conducted in Africa Assessments cover cross-border trade, regional and long-distance international trade. Assessment seem to focus on wildlife, horses and poultry (including ostriches), more than traditional commodities. Important lack of appropriate legislation, despite the claim that 68% of countries have legislation in place dealing with risk analysis. World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 50

The bigger picture The extent of risk analysis conducted in Africa What decisions have been taken afterwards? Did the countries end up engaging in trade? How important is risk analysis within the SPS? International standards vs. national standards? How much does it cost vs. trade volumes? What is the situation in other regions? World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 51

Thank you for your attention Speaker : Patrick Bastiaensen Acknowledgements : Eric Etter and Darrell Abernethy (University of Pretoria), Bernard Vallat and Valentyna Sharandak (OIE), Julie Punderson (USDA) All participating African countries 12, rue de Prony, 75017 Paris, France www.oie.int media@oie.int - oie@oie.int