National status and trends of adders in Britain. Angela Julian & John Baker (ARG UK), Jim Foster (ARC)

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National status and trends of adders in Britain Angela Julian & John Baker (ARG UK), Jim Foster (ARC)

National & Regional Status Cooke, A.S. & Scorgie, H.R.A. (1983). The status of the commoner amphibians and reptiles in Britain. Focus on Nature Conservation, No. 3. Hilton-Brown, D. & Oldham, R.S. (1993). The status of the widespread amphibians and reptiles in Britain, 1990, and changes during the 1980s. Focus on Nature Conservation, No. 131.

Regional Status Cooke& Scorgie (1983). Hilton-Brown& Oldham (1993). Current. Status 1980 (roughly). Changes during 1970s. Status 1990. Changes during 1980s. Status now. Changes since 1990s.

Status at particular sites Baker, Suckling & Carey (2004). Status of the Adder (Vipera berus) and Slowworm (Anguisfragilis) in England. English Nature Research Report 546, Peterborough.

Regional Status Original NCC Criteria Score 2016 criteria Absent 0 Absent Absent or rare Possibly absent Very rare 0.5 Rare Fairly abundant in some areas Fairly abundant in some areas (fairly abundant at some sites but not widespread) Fairly widespread Fairly widespread Fairly common 1 Fairly common Locally abundant Locally abundant (abundant at some sites, but not widespread) Widespread and very abundant Widespread and very abundant

Regional Status C&S HB&O Current Common frog 0.83 0.93 Common toad 0.81 0.82 Viviparous lizard 0.76 0.63 Smooth newt 0.67 0.69 Adder 0.61 0.55 0.62 Grass snake 0.56 0.42 Palmate newt 0.55 0.58 Slow-worm 0.49 0.49 Great crested newt 0.35 0.49

Regional Status C&S HB&O Current Common frog 0.83 0.93 Common toad 0.81 0.82 Viviparous lizard 0.76 0.63 Smooth newt 0.67 0.69 Adder 0.61 0.55 0.62 Grass snake 0.56 0.42 Palmate newt 0.55 0.58 Slow-worm 0.49 0.49 Great crested newt 0.35 0.49 47 responses vs. 140/142.

Change in Status Original NCC 2016 Increase Significant or major +1 increase Slight or possible Slight increase +0.5 increase No change No change 0 Slight or possible decrease Decrease Absent throughout period Too rare to assign a trend. Slight decrease -0.5 Significant or major decrease Absent during period Not possible to assign a trend -1

Status Change Status change C&S HB&O 1970s 1980s Recent Common frog -0.08 +0.16 Palmate newt -0.12-0.10 Common toad -0.13-0.05 Adder -0.14-0.16-0.55 Viviparous lizard -0.20-0.18 Smooth newt -0.20-0.02 Slow-worm -0.28-0.21 Grass snake -0.33-0.15 Great crested newt -0.37-0.24

Regional Status Factor C&S HB&O 2016 Urban development/building 3 (8) 2 (6) 20 (13) Agricultural changes 7 (19) 5 (16) 16 (10) Forestry 5 (14) 2 (6) 15 (10) Mineral/peat extraction N/A 2 (6)(peat) 7 (5)(either) Fires 6 (16) 6 (19) 16 (10) Unspecified 1 4 (13) N/A Miscellaneous improvements etc. 2 0 N/A Neglect/succession N/A 2 (6) 16 (10) Habitat management N/A N/A 9 (6) Loss of habitat 24 (65) 23 (72) 92 (65) Public pressure (disturbance) 5 (14) 6 (19) 23 (15) Predation 0 N/A 12 (8) Persecution 7 (19) 2 (6) 16 (10) Climate 0 1 (3) 3 (2) Total 37(100) 32 (100) 153 (100)

Status at particular sites Increased and Stable similar but fewer unknowns and more decreases. Chis = 9.30, p < 0.03.

Assessment methodology The proportion of systematic surveys increased between 2004 and 2016, from 32% to 50% (Chis = 6039, p = 0.01).

Population size Population size estimates were given for a higher proportion of sites a rise from 60% to 73%. The overall pattern remains similar, however, with only 15% of populations thought to contain more than 50 individuals.

Site size and population status Site size shows similar trend to 2004 data although not statistically significant, Chis = 5.28, p = 0.07.

Causal factors (%) Reasons for change 2004 2016 Building development 10 6 Agricultural changes 4 2 Forestry operations 10 4 Mineral/peat extraction` 1 0 Fire 12 2 Public pressure (disturbance) 25 20 Persecution 17 12 Predation 9 16 Pollution 1 0 Neglect/succession 14 2 Habitat management/creation 12 18 Introduction/development mitigation. - 2 Introduction/conservation - 0 Climate change/weather conditions 1 10 Changes in legislation - 2 Unknown 6 4

Prominent negative factors Regional Site Factor 1980 1990 2016 2004 2016 Urban develop. 13 Agric. changes 19 16 10 Forestry 10 Fires 16 19 10 Public pressure 19 15 25 20 Persecution 19 10 17 Predation 16 Neglect/succession 14 Habitat management 18

Is informed opinion reliable? Questionnaire survey on grass snakes in 1970s: because of its special habitat requirements, this snake could easily become an endangered species in Britain, unlike the adder which can occupy many marginal habitats.

Conclusions Both regional and site assessment indicate continuing worrying declines. A range of factors appear to be invovled.

Acknowledgements Adam Spencer, Alice Brown, Andrea Trager, Andrew Heaton, Andrew Hymas, Angela Julian, Anne Richardson, B, Barry Kemp, Ben Rushbrook, Bernard Dawson, Bob Brown, Chris Cathrine, Chris Monk, Clare Knight, Coralie Niven, Craig Strawbridge, Daniel Lombard, David Baird, David Dewbury, David Pollard, David Sewell, Douglas Mills, Dr Fred Slater, Gareth Matthes, Garry Smith, Geoff Stockle, Graeme Skinner, Guy, James Gunn, Jan Clemons, Jill Millar, John Baker, John Dickson, John Dunn, John Durkin, John W. Wilkinson, Jon Cranfield, Laura, Lee Brady, Mandy Cartwright, Margaret Watson, Mark Barber, Mark Warn, Matt Smith, Matthew Harris, Mick Brummage, Nick Dobbs, Nigel Hand, Nigel Winton, Paul Furnborough, Ray Hamilton, Rick Hodges, Rob Dawson, Robbie Blease, Robin Cottrell, Robin Ward, Ruth Kernohan, Stephen corcoran, Steve dale, Steve Langham, Steven Hildick, Stuart Edwards, Todd Lewis, Tom Williams & Tony Marshall.