Poultry Pocketbook 2018

Transcription

1 Poultry Pocketbook 2018

2 Produced for you by: AHDB Stoneleigh Park Kenilworth Warwickshire CV8 2TL T E comms@ahdb.org.uk W If you no longer wish to receive this information, please us on comms@ahdb.org.uk While the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board seeks to ensure that the information contained within this document is accurate at the time of printing, no warranty is given in respect thereof and, to the maximum extent permitted by law, the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury howsoever caused (including that caused by negligence) or suffered directly or indirectly in relation to information and opinions contained in or omitted from this document. Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board All rights reserved. Further publication of the trade data is prohibited, unless expressly permitted by IHS Maritime & Trade. ISBN

3 Contents - Poultry Pocketbook Chapter 1 Marketing chain 3 Table 1.1 UK poultry meat supply balance 3 Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance 3 Table 1.3 EU poultry meat supply balance 4 Table 1.4 EU egg supply balance 5 Chapter 2 Poultry numbers 6 Table 2.1 UK poultry numbers, June survey 6 Table 2.2 UK chick and poultry placings 6 Chapter 3 Slaughterings and production 7 Table 3.1 UK poultry slaughterings 7 Table 3.2 UK poultry meat production 7 Figure 3.1 UK broiler meat production 8 Figure 3.2 Average liveweight of broilers, England and Wales 8 Table 3.3 UK egg packing station throughput 9 Table 3.4 UK production of egg products by processors 9 Figure 3.3 EU egg production for human consumption, Chapter 4 Poultry and egg prices 11 Table 4.1 Average UK egg packer price paid to producers 11 Figure 4.1 Quarterly average UK egg packer price paid to producers 11 Figure 4.2 EU and UK broiler meat wholesale market price 12 Figure 4.3 EU and UK egg (large and medium) wholesale market price 12 Figure 4.4 Average poultry compound feed price, GB 13 1

4 Contents Chapter 5 Imports and exports 14 Table 5.1 UK egg trade by volume 14 Table 5.2 Volume and value of UK poultry meat imports 14 Table 5.3 Volume and value of UK poultry meat exports 15 Table 5.4 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat imports by source 15 Table 5.5 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat exports by destination 16 Table 5.6 UK processed poultry meat imports by source 16 Figure 5.1 Map of UK fresh frozen poultry meat exports by destination 17 Table 5.7 UK processed poultry meat exports by destination 18 Table 5.8 EU exports of fresh/frozen poultry meat by destination 18 Chapter 6 Consumption 19 Table 6.1 UK per capita consumption of major meats 19 Table 6.2 GB retail chicken and egg value by type of outlet 19 Figure 6.1 Trends in GB household chicken purchases by volume 20 Figure 6.2 Trends in GB household egg purchases by volume 20 Figure 6.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of chicken by product, Figure 6.4 GB volume sales of chicken by product, Figure 6.5 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of eggs, Figure 6.6 GB volume sales of eggs, Figure 6.7 Average GB retail price of chicken cuts, Figure 6.8 Average GB retail price of eggs, Figure 6.9 Proportion of chicken products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets 24 Figure 6.10 Proportion of eggs sold on promotion in GB retail outlets 24 2

5 Chapter 1 Marketing chain Table 1.1 UK poultry meat supply balance (a) 000 tonnes Production 1,661 1,646 1,731 1,794 1,807 Imports (b) , Exports (b) Total consumption* 2,103 2,129 2,349 2,474 2,399 Self sufficiency (%)** Domestic used production as a % of consumption a = Includes poultry offals b = Includes trade in salted and processed poultry meat *Total consumption is a balance calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports exports **Self-sufficiency (%) = production/consumption (where consumption is production + imports exports) All data is carcase weight equivalent Source: Defra, IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade Atlas /HMRC, AHDB Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance Million dozen * Production (for human consumption) sold in shell processed Imports (a) Exports (a) Table continued overleaf 3

6 Marketing chain Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance continued Million dozen * Total consumption** ,032 1,059 Self-sufficiency (%)*** Domestic used production as a % of consumption *Provisional a = Includes shell egg equivalent of whole (dried, frozen and liquid) egg, egg yolk and albumen **Total consumption is a balance calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports exports ***Self-sufficiency (%) = production/consumption (where consumption is production + imports exports) All data is carcase weight equivalent Source: Defra Table 1.3 EU poultry meat supply balance (a) 000 tonnes (e) Indigenous production 12,793 13,271 13,790 14,477 14,669 Imports Exports 1,322 1,372 1,381 1,495 1,486 Total consumption* 12,264 12,721 13,266 13,866 14,013 Self-sufficiency (%)** a = Includes poultry offals e = Estimate *Total consumption is a balance calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports - exports **Self-sufficiency (%) = Production/consumption (where consumption is production + imports exports) All data is carcase weight equivalent Source: EU Commission 4

7 Marketing chain Table 1.4 EU egg supply balance '000 tonnes (e) Production* 7,321 7,376 7,574 7,742 7,704 Imports Exports Total use** 7,121 7,157 7,312 7,512 7,487 Self-sufficiency (%)*** All data are in whole egg equivalents e = Estimate *Includes eggs for consumption and hatching eggs **Total use is a balance calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports - exports ***Self-sufficiency (%) = production/consumption (where consumption is production + imports exports) Source: EU Commission 5

8 Chapter 2 Poultry numbers Table 2.1 UK poultry numbers, June survey Million head (a) Total poultry Total breeding and laying fowl Hens and pullets laying eggs for eating Total breeding flock Table chickens (broilers) Other poultry Turkeys a = Production cycles mean that subgroups within the poultry population are often volatile because of the point in time nature of the June survey can lead to large variations in the numbers in each category Source: Defra Table 2.2 UK chick and poultry placings Million head * 2017 Commercial broilers ,013 1,047 Commercial layers Turkeys (a) Female broiler breeders (b) *53-week statistical year a = Including female breeder poults b = Female parents only; excludes grandparent chicks and by-product chicks; includes imported female parent chicks Source: Defra

9 Chapter 3 Slaughterings and production Table 3.1 UK poultry slaughterings Million head Broilers Boiling fowl** Turkeys * * , *53-week statistical year **Boiling fowl includes spent hens and spent breeders Source: Defra Table 3.2 UK poultry meat production (a) 000 tonnes Broilers Boiling fowl Turkey Ducks Total , , , , * 1, , , , * 1, , , ,807 a = Excludes other bird types, eg geese *53-week statistical year All data is carcase weight equivalent Source: Defra 7

10 Slaughterings and production Figure 3.1 UK broiler meat production Weight ('000 tonnes) 1,800 1,600 1,518 1,553 1,500 1,456 1,400 1,300 1,282 1,323 1,200 1,163 1,100 1, * * 2017 *53-week statistical year All data is carcase weight equivalent Source: Defra Figure 3.2 Average liveweight of broilers, England and Wales Weight (kg) * * *53-week statistical year Source: Defra

11 Slaughterings and production Table 3.3 UK egg packing station throughput '000 cases Total Enriched cage Barn Free range Organic ,460 16,187 1,675 4,598 n/a ,584 15,558 1,564 7,462 n/a ,067 13,522 1,334 11, ,834 14, , ,812 14, , ,951 14, , case = 360 eggs n/a = not available Source: Defra Table 3.4 UK production of egg products by processors Tonnes Liquid egg Hard boiled* Other* Total ,022 n/a 16,756 91, ,066 28,649 13, , ,459 33,188 n/a 97, ,624 31,850 n/a 99, ,201 32,267 n/a 100, ,613 30,375 n/a 90,988 Combined from 2010 onwards n/a = not available Source: Defra 9

12 Slaughterings and production Figure 3.3 EU egg production for human consumption, 2017 Weight ('000 tonnes) 1,200 1, , France Italy Denmark Spain United Kingdom Netherlands Poland Romania Others Source: EU Commission 10

13 Pence per dozen Chapter 4 - Poultry and egg prices Table 4.1 Average UK egg packer price paid to producers All Enriched cage Barn Free range Organic n/a n/a c c c c c c n/a = not available c = confidential Data covers all Class A eggs passed over a grader, including seconds Prices include bonus payments from 2012 From 2006 the average UK All types price includes organic eggs Source: Defra Figure 4.1 Quarterly average UK egg packer price paid to producers Price (p/dozen) Q Q Q Q Q Q1 All types Enriched cage Free range Source: Defra 11

14 Poultry and egg prices Figure 4.2 EU and UK broiler meat wholesale market price Price (p/kg) Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18 UK EU Source: EU Commission, London Wholesale Market Figure 4.3 EU and UK egg (large and medium) wholesale market price Price (p/kg) Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 UK EU Source: EU Commission 12

15 Figure 4.4 Average poultry compound feed price, GB Price ( /tonne) Poultry and egg prices Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr Source: Defra 13

16 Chapter 5 Imports and exports Table 5.1 UK egg trade by volume '000 cases (e) Imports Shell eggs 1,718 1,851 1,571 1,482 1,691 Egg products 3,382 3,413 4,265 4,216 3,812 Total 5,099 5,263 5,836 5,698 5,503 Exports Shell eggs Egg products Total case = 360 eggs e = Estimate All data are converted to shell egg equivalents Source: Defra Table 5.2 Volume and value of UK poultry meat imports Tonnes, product weight /frozen poultry (inc. offals) Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade Atlas /HMRC , , , , ,122 Salted poultry 49,610 56,098 60,390 60,100 44,840 Processed poultry 291, , , , ,462 Total 724, , , , , /frozen poultry (inc. offals) 956,793 1,020,954 1,035,501 1,123,387 1,125,778 Salted poultry 103, , , ,910 86,397 Processed poultry 848, , , ,948 1,040,761 Total 1,908,308 2,022,987 2,061,766 2,214,245 2,252,935

17 Table 5.3 Volume and value of UK poultry meat exports Imports and exports Tonnes, product weight /frozen poultry (inc. offals) 342, , , , ,850 Salted poultry 2,433 3,411 3,571 3,741 2,937 Processed poultry 42,586 48,517 44,669 38,582 48,335 Total 387, , , , , /frozen poultry (inc. offals) 329, , , , ,744 Salted poultry 5,466 8,593 6,665 6,321 4,818 Processed poultry 126, , , , ,680 Total 461, , , , ,242 Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade Atlas /HMRC Table 5.4 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat imports by source (a) Tonnes, product weight Total 383, , , , ,122 Netherlands 178, , , , ,705 Poland 51,874 55,873 65,610 78,586 94,539 Ireland 25,456 35,154 38,133 48,138 45,220 Belgium 25,887 30,786 30,609 35,307 32,844 Germany 26,331 30,133 31,760 31,316 30,024 Italy 12,449 10,587 15,781 17,653 12,292 France 13,224 13,476 10,724 12,249 10,293 Spain 3,647 6,005 8,198 11,094 9,790 Romania 7,052 6,901 10,579 13,277 9,738 a = Includes offals Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade Atlas /HMRC 15

18 Imports and exports Table 5.5 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat exports by destination (a) Tonnes, product weight Total 342, , , , ,850 EU , , , , ,523 Netherlands 100, ,917 94,544 66, ,126 Ireland 46,437 45,877 41,843 35,201 32,781 France 21,073 21,911 22,538 26,141 28,195 Germany 19,339 22,702 24,102 22,834 26,526 Belgium 14,822 11,569 6,930 7,509 21,840 Spain 16,020 12,454 17,083 12,963 19,729 Poland 6,021 2,716 2,007 6,165 8,087 Hong Kong 20,876 25,811 17,688 16,853 24,372 South Africa 38,341 43,013 18,157 43,488 1,699 a = includes offals Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade Atlas /HMRC Table 5.6 UK processed poultry meat imports by source Tonnes, product weight Total 291, , , , ,462 EU , , , , ,975 Netherlands 31,370 32,312 39,872 49,986 42,387 Ireland 33,300 29,970 31,483 31,582 31,522 Poland 14,633 16,478 25,678 28,917 31,371 Germany 14,665 14,324 25,645 23,078 26,213 France 11,411 11,375 11,994 17,086 23,949 Belgium 5,028 8,683 7,496 7,552 8,095 Thailand 116, , , , ,182 Brazil 29,008 40,414 42,229 47,154 40,684 China 8,963 7,223 6,894 5,110 6,002 Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade Atlas /HMRC 16

19 Imports and exports Figure 5.1 Map of UK fresh/frozen poultry exports by destination Figure 5.1 Map of UK fresh/frozen poultry exports by destination The above map shows the countries to which the UK exported fresh/frozen poultry in 2017, according to IHS Maritime and Trade - Global Trade Atlas /HMRC The website below provides guidance on exporting, including a list of the available Export Health Certificates (EHC) Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade Atlas /HMRC 17

20 Imports and exports Table 5.7 UK processed poultry meat exports by destination Tonnes, product weight Total 42,586 48,517 44,669 38,582 48,335 Ireland 22,159 22,124 20,435 18,907 20,109 Netherlands 5,642 9,299 8,666 6,681 15,010 Germany 6,724 5,705 5,425 3,326 2,624 Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade Atlas /HMRC Table 5.8 EU exports of fresh/frozen poultry meat by destination Tonnes, product weight Total 1,231,484 1,294,614 1,301,891 1,412,332 1,451,639 Ghana 72,953 56,116 67,074 75, ,007 Hong Kong 101, ,083 87, , ,332 Ukraine 54,672 57,774 66,125 82, ,551 Benin 137, , , , ,710 Saudi Arabia 153, , , ,853 98,032 Philippines 26,707 43,794 72,688 93,296 92,187 South Africa 150, , , ,914 74,309 Congo Dem. Rep. 27,340 32,496 34,247 43,552 61,068 Vietnam 11,651 18,038 24,394 34,599 50,571 Gabon 24,494 28,788 36,432 31,157 47,885 Liberia 13,394 12,656 20,826 24,345 40,321 Congo 22,108 26,299 33,561 30,875 33,203 Macedonia 30,143 28,188 26,639 26,853 29,474 Malaysia 26,939 25,149 24,629 30,692 22,184 Guinea 6,635 6,305 8,970 12,157 21,120 Switzerland 17,887 18,196 18,429 19,293 18,947 Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade Atlas /HMRC 18

21 Chapter 6 Consumption Table 6.1 UK per capita consumption of major meats (a) kg/person/year Poultry meat Pig meat Beef & veal Total meat a = Per capita consumption is a calculation based on total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports exports, divided by the mid-year population estimate All data is carcase weight equivalent Source: AHDB; calculations based on data from Defra, HMRC and the ONS Table 6.2 GB retail chicken and egg value sales by type of outlet Chicken % Multiples Freezer centres Butchers Other Eggs Source: Kantar WorldPanel Data covers 52 weeks ending late December the same year/early January the next year Source: Kantar WorldPanel 19

22 Consumption Figure 6.1 Trends in GB household chicken purchases by volume Volume (tonnes) 680, , , , , , , , Jan 26 Feb 28 Mar 24 Apr May 18 Jun 16 Jul 13 Aug 52 weeks ending 10 Sep 08 Oct Figures include ready to cook and chilled main meal accompaniment products Source: Kantar WorldPanel 05 Nov 03 Dec 31 Dec 20 Figure 6.2 Trends in GB household egg purchases by volume Number ('000 eggs) 6,400,000 6,200,000 6,000,000 5,800,000 5,600,000 5,400,000 5,200,000 5,000,000 4,800, Jan 26 Feb Source: Kantar WorldPanel 28 Mar 24 Apr 21 May 18 Jun 16 Jul 13 Aug 52 weeks ending 10 Sep 08 Oct 05 Nov 03 Dec 31 Dec

23 Consumption Figure 6.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of chicken by product, 2017 Year on year % change Breast Volume Value Whole Leg Roll/Roast Breast Whole Leg Data covers 52 weeks ending in late December the same year/early January the next year Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.4 GB volume sales of chicken by product, 2017 Volume (tonnes) 250, , ,142 Sliced Roll/Roast Cooked 150, , ,000 96,083 50,000 0 Breast Whole Leg 3,207 Roll/ Roasts Data covers 52 weeks ending 31 December 2017 Source: Kantar WorldPanel 42,741 Breast 5,578 1,320 5,231 Whole Leg Roll/ Roast 22,031 Sliced Cooked 21

24 Consumption Figure 6.5 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of eggs, 2017 Year on year % change Volume Barn Value Free Range Non-organic Free Range Organic Non-free Range Data covers 52 weeks ending in late December the same year/early January the next year Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.6 GB volume sales of eggs, 2017 Number ('000 eggs) 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,608,535 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,353,821 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, , ,232 0 Barn Free Range Non-organic Data covers 52 weeks ending 31 December 2017 Source: Kantar WorldPanel 75,775 Free Range Organic Non-free Range

25 Consumption Figure 6.7 Average GB retail price of chicken cuts, 2017 Price per kilogram ( /kg) Breast 2.57 Whole 2.96 Leg 8.02 Roll/Roast 3.74 Breast 4.76 Roll/Roast Whole Leg 6.90 Sliced Cooked Data cover 52 weeks, ending 31 December 2017 Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.8 Average GB retail price of eggs, 2017 Price (p/egg) Barn Free Range Non-organic Data cover 52 weeks, ending 31 December 2017 Source: Kantar WorldPanel Free Range Organic Non-free Range 23

26 Consumption Figure 6.9 Proportion of chicken products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets % of total volume Breast Whole Leg Roll/Roast Breast Sliced Cooked Leg Roll/Roast Whole 52 w/e 01 Jan w/e 31 Dec 17 Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.10 Proportion of eggs sold on promotion in GB retail outlets % of total volume Barn 1.4 Source: Kantar WorldPanel 24 Free Range Non-organic 52 w/e 01 Jan w/e 31 Dec 17 Free Range Organic Non-free Range

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