Chickens and Eggs. November Egg Production Up 3 Percent

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1 Chickens and Eggs ISSN: Released December 2, 208, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). November Egg Production Up 3 Percent United States egg production totaled 9.07 billion during November 208, up 3 from last year. Production included 7.92 billion table eggs, and.5 billion hatching eggs, of which.06 billion were broilertype and 8.7 million were eggtype. The average number of layers during November 208 totaled 390 million, up 3 from last year. November egg production per 00 layers was 2,322 eggs, up from November 207. All layers in the United States on December, 208 totaled 392 million, up 2 from last year. The 392 million layers consisted of 33 million layers producing table or market type eggs, 57.6 million layers producing broilertype hatching eggs, and 3.25 million layers producing eggtype hatching eggs. Rate of lay per day on December, 208, averaged 77.7 eggs per 00 layers, up slightly from December, 207. EggType Chicks Hatched Down 3 Percent Eggtype chicks hatched during November 208 totaled 46.9 million, down 3 from November 207. Eggs in incubators totaled 50.8 million on December, 208, up 9 from a year ago. Domestic placements of eggtype pullet chicks for future hatchery supply flocks by leading breeders totaled 260 thousand during November 208, up 73 from November 207. BroilerType Chicks Hatched Down Percent Broilertype chicks hatched during November 208 totaled 767 million, down from November 207. Eggs in incubators totaled 688 million on December, 208, up slightly from a year ago. Leading breeders placed 7.33 million broilertype pullet chicks for future domestic hatchery supply flocks during November 208, down 8 from November 207.

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3 Contents Average Layers During the Month United States: Egg Production During the Month by Type United States: Egg Production During the Month in Dozens by Type United States: Average Layers During the Month United States... 5 All Egg Production During the Month United States... 5 Layers on Hand and Eggs Produced by Type and Molt United States: OctoberNovember 207 and Layers on Hand and Eggs Produced by Type and Molt United States: NovemberDecember 207 and Layers on Hand and Eggs Produced States and United States: During October 207 and Layers on Hand and Eggs Produced States and United States: During November 207 and Egg Production by Type States and United States: October 207 and Egg Production by Type States and United States: November 207 and Egg Production in Dozens by Type States and United States: October 207 and Egg Production in Dozens by Type States and United States: November 207 and Molted as Percent of All Layers on the First of the Month United States: Molted as Percent of All Layers States and United States: November and December, Hatchery Production United States: 207 and EggType Eggs in Incubators on the First of the Month United States: 207 and EggType Chicks Hatched by Month United States: Intended Placements of EggType Pullet Chicks for Hatchery Supply Flocks by Month United States: BroilerType Eggs in Incubators on the First of the Month United States: 207 and BroilerType Chicks Hatched States and United States: November 207 and BroilerType Chicks Hatched by Month United States: Intended Placements of BroilerType Pullet Chicks for Hatchery Supply Flocks by Month and Total: Statistical Methodology Terms and Definitions of Chickens and Eggs Estimates... 2 Information Contacts Chickens and Eggs (December 208) 3

4 Average Layers During the Month United States: Month December... January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December previous year. (,000 layers) (,000 layers) 377,37 377,98 376,34 376, , , , , ,90 375, , , ,30 382, , ,52 386, , , , , , ,52 390,492 Egg Production During the Month by Type United States: Month December... January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December previous year. Total eggs Table eggs Hatching eggs (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) 9,0.7 9, ,24.2 9, , ,97.8 8, , , , , , ,04. 8, ,45.4 9, , ,22.5 8,83.8 9,00.4 9,65.5 8,93.5 9, , , ,96.4 7, ,86.5 7, , ,53.8 7,782. 7, , , , , ,84.8 7,0.8 7, , , , , , , , ,922.6,45.8,37.0,028.4,45.0,3.8,53.3,22.2,70.8,67.,2.7,56.9,4.5,40.2,43.,045.6,66.9,4.3,89.9,6.4,.7,97.6,53.7,84.2,46.0 Egg Production During the Month in Dozens by Type United States: Month December... January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December previous year. Total eggs Table eggs Hatching eggs (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) 758, , , , , ,50. 79, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,6.8 59, ,25. 63, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,.5 646, , , , , ,6.8 95, , , , , , , , , ,07. 95, , , ,08., ,783.3,975.,7.6 96,4.7 98, , Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

5 Average Layers During the Month United States Million layers Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov December previous year All Egg Production During the Month United States Million eggs 9,300 9,00 8,900 8,700 8,500 8,300 8, Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov December previous year Chickens and Eggs (December 208) 5

6 Layers on Hand and Eggs Produced by Type and Molt United States: OctoberNovember 207 and 208 Item Layers during October All layers...,000 Table egg type...,000 Hatching egg type...,000 Broilertype hatching...,000 Eggtype hatching..., ,028 37,758 60,270 57,7 3,53 387,52 326,632 60,889 57,523 3, as of Eggs per 00 layers during October All layers... number Table egg type... number Hatching egg type... number Broilertype hatching... number Eggtype hatching... number 2,360 2,443,920,898 2,306 2,387 2,470,945,90 2, Eggs produced during October All layers... million Table egg type... million Hatching egg type... million Broilertype hatching... million Eggtype hatching... million 8, ,763.3,56.9, , ,066.5,84.2, Eggs produced during October All layers...,000 dozen Table egg type...,000 dozen Hatching egg type...,000 dozen Broilertype hatching...,000 dozen Eggtype hatching...,000 dozen 743, , , , , , , , , , Layers on November All layers...,000 Table egg type...,000 Hatching egg type...,000 Broilertype hatching...,000 Eggtype hatching..., ,323 39,373 59,950 56,852 3, ,50 328,259 60,89 57,637 3, Eggs per 00 layers on November All layers... number Table egg type... number Hatching egg type... number Broilertype hatching... number Eggtype hatching... number Molted layers on November Being molted... Molt completed Layers sold for slaughter during October...,000 4, , Layers rendered, died, destroyed, composted or disappeared for any reason during October...,000 8,796. 0, Pullets on November...,000 3,246 26,497 2 Pullets added during October...,000 Pullet chicks less than 3 days old added to pullet flocks. 26, , Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

7 Layers on Hand and Eggs Produced by Type and Molt United States: NovemberDecember 207 and 208 Item Layers during November All layers...,000 Table egg type...,000 Hatching egg type...,000 Broilertype hatching...,000 Eggtype hatching..., , ,748 60,072 56,83 3,24 390, ,64 60,878 57,625 3, as of Eggs per 00 layers during November All layers... number Table egg type... number Hatching egg type... number Broilertype hatching... number Eggtype hatching... number 2,308 2,393,855,830 2,305 2,322 2,404,882,847 2, Eggs produced during November All layers... million Table egg type... million Hatching egg type... million Broilertype hatching... million Eggtype hatching... million 8, ,676.3,4.5, , ,922.6,46.0, Eggs produced during November All layers...,000 dozen Table egg type...,000 dozen Hatching egg type...,000 dozen Broilertype hatching...,000 dozen Eggtype hatching...,000 dozen 732, , , , , , , , ,69.7 6, Layers on December All layers...,000 Table egg type...,000 Hatching egg type...,000 Broilertype hatching...,000 Eggtype hatching..., , ,090 60,76 56,797 3,379 39, ,953 60,849 57,602 3, Eggs per 00 layers on December All layers... number Table egg type... number Hatching egg type... number Broilertype hatching... number Eggtype hatching... number Molted layers on December Being molted... Molt completed Layers sold for slaughter during November...,000 2, ,320.6 Layers rendered, died, destroyed, composted or disappeared for any reason during November...,000 7,55.5 0, Pullets on December...,000 5,4 24, Pullets added during November...,000 Pullet chicks less than 3 days old added to pullet flocks. 27, , Chickens and Eggs (December 208) 7

8 Layers on Hand and Eggs Produced States and United States: During October 207 and 208 State Alabama... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Florida... Georgia... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Maryland... Table egg layers in flocks 30,000 and above All layers Eggs per 00 for all layers (,000 layers) (,000 layers) (,000 layers) (,000 layers) (eggs) (eggs),373 3,952 3,862 4,76 6,944 9,447 4,42 32,28 54,08 2,625,326 4,072 3,846 4,555 6,3 8,929 5,269 32,562 56,575 2,584 9,486 3,932 4,4 4,578 7,346 9,405 4,855 32,3 55,529 2,786 9,487 3,974 4,489 4,978 7,38 9,60 5,737 33,38 58,00 2,734,924 2,054 2,335 2,650 2,307 2,24 2,509 2,48 2,403 2,495,93 2,057 2,542 2,583 2,26 2,4 2,454 2,430 2,42 2,546 Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... Ohio... Oregon... Pennsylvania... 4,0 9,792,406 6,394 7,440 4,2 6,943 30,280 2,203 26,279 5,569 0,584,430 7,6 8,083 4,979 4,750 32,022 2,05 25,89 4,320 0,237 5,52 9,959 7,74 5,364 5,50 3,89 2,342 28,59 5,784,054 5,50,380 8,362 5,380 2,689 33,06 2,244 27,3 2,508 2,428 2,93 2,404 2,54 2,623 2,58 2,49 2,635 2,505 2,468 2,506 2,7 2,433 2,552 2,502 2,4 2,469 2,594 2,53 South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... 2,93 2,50 7,64 4, ,637 6,039 3,2 2,696 7,723 4, ,98 6,036 4,5 2,643 2,862 4,93 2,59 6,802 6,706 4,454 2,838 2,877 4,433 2,4 7,083 6,707 2,320 2,497 2,279 2,567 2,342 2,493 2,249 2,243 2,622 2,370 2,58 2,09 2,640 2,366 Other States... 24,0 25,20 33,050 34,446 2,263 2,347 United States ,339 36, , ,52 2,360 2,387 Includes data for States not published in this table. 8 Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

9 Layers on Hand and Eggs Produced States and United States: During November 207 and 208 State Alabama... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Florida... Georgia... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Maryland... Table egg layers in flocks 30,000 and above All layers Eggs per 00 for all layers (,000 layers) (,000 layers) (,000 layers) (,000 layers) (eggs) (eggs),373 3,983 4,064 4,056 7,007 9,733 4,634 3,884 54,258 2,628,33 4,80 3,972 4,609 6,93 9,356 5,8 33,293 56,349 2,609 9,374 3,97 4,706 4,458 7,366 9,660 5,079 32,744 55,70 2,786 9,497 4,53 4,625 5,029 7,302 9,949 6,267 34,069 57,753 2,768,870 2,000 2,284 2,54 2,326 2,2 2,392 2,420 2,35 2,40,865 2,032 2,402 2,527 2,327 2,25 2,33 2,392 2,363 2,489 Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... Ohio... Oregon... Pennsylvania... 4,349 9,928,440 6,452 7,42 5,058 7,075 30,890 2,23 26,65 5,78 0,575,433 7,554 8,286 5,059 5,096 32,049 2,0 26,023 4,570 0,4 5,594 0,02 7,694 5,424 5,206 3,80 2,370 28,545 5,942,064 5,554,245 8,57 5,470 2,0 33,049 2,249 28,40 2,45 2,322 2,095 2,432 2,534 2,528 2,24 2,360 2,540 2,433 2,433 2,46 2,7 2,426 2,443 2,406 2,042 2,354 2,454 2,45 South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... 2,78 2,62 7,760 4, ,503 6,78 3,5 2,630 8,03 4, ,783 6,9 4,03 2,763 22,036 5,08 2,56 6,668 6,82 4,359 2,772 22,07 4,5 2,579 6,948 6,790 2,98 2,457 2,256 2,489 2,297 2,365 2,297 2,24 2,56 2,337 2,442 2,87 2,527 2,222 Other States... 24,45 25,393 33,549 34,688 2,208 2,257 United States... 3,60 39, , ,492 2,308 2,322 Includes data for States not published in this table. Chickens and Eggs (December 208) 9

10 Egg Production by Type States and United States: October 207 and 208 [Data by type of flock not shown for some States to avoid disclosing individual operations, data included in United States totals] State Alabama... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Florida... Georgia... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Maryland... Total production Table eggs Hatching eggs (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) , , , , Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... Ohio... Oregon... Pennsylvania South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin Other States United States... 8, ,250.7 Represents zero. Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not published separately to avoid disclosing individual operations. 7, ,066.5,56.9, Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

11 Egg Production by Type States and United States: November 207 and 208 [Data by type of flock not shown for some States to avoid disclosing individual operations, data included in United States totals] State Alabama... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Florida... Georgia... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Maryland... Total production Table eggs Hatching eggs (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) (million eggs) , , , , Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... Ohio... Oregon... Pennsylvania South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin Other States United States... 8, ,068.6 Represents zero. Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not published separately to avoid disclosing individual operations. 7, ,922.6,4.5,46.0 Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

12 Egg Production in Dozens by Type States and United States: October 207 and 208 [Data by type of flock not shown for some States to avoid disclosing individual operations, data included in United States totals] State Alabama... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Florida... Georgia... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Maryland... Total production Table eggs Hatching eggs (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) 5, , ,26.7 0,08.3 4, ,34.7 0,50. 68,208.3,9.7 5,79.7 5, , ,69.8 0,76.7 3, ,.7, ,59.6 7, , , , , ,86.7 9, , ,79.7 5, , , ,56.6 7,84.7, , , ,76.7 2,25.0 5, , ,383.3, , , , ,308.3, Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... Ohio... Oregon... Pennsylvania... 29, ,76.7 0,09.8 9, ,58.3, , , ,4.6 58, , , , , ,783.4, , , , , ,83.3 3,33.4 5, , ,4.6 56, ,59.6 3,00.0 7, ,89.7 4, , , ,94.7 2, , , ,633.3 South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... 8,025. 5, ,56.6 0, ,96.7 4,33.3 2, , , , , ,39.7 5, , ,08.4 5, , , , , ,533.3,89.7,96.7 2,54.7,89.7 2,500.0 Other States... 62, , , ,966.8,66.9,46.6 United States , ,89.9 Represents zero. Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not published separately to avoid disclosing individual operations. 646, , , , Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

13 Egg Production in Dozens by Type States and United States: November 207 and 208 [Data by type of flock not shown for some States to avoid disclosing individual operations, data included in United States totals] State Alabama... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Florida... Georgia... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Maryland... Total production Table eggs Hatching eggs (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) (,000 dozen eggs) 4, , ,.7 9,44.7 4, , , , ,33.4 5, , , , ,59.7 4, , , ,8.9 3,74.7 5,74.7 2, , , ,54.7 9, , , ,49.6 2, , ,86.7 8,750.0, , , ,64.7, , , ,366.7, ,89.7 4, , ,233.3, Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... Ohio... Oregon... Pennsylvania... 29, ,4.6 9, ,29.7 6,250.0, , , , , , ,275. 9, , ,450. 0, , , , , ,59.6 3,06.6 5, ,56.7 5, , , ,25.0 7, ,06.7 4, , , , , , ,09.7 2,66.7 South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... 7, , , , ,86.7 3,4.7 3, ,4.7 5, ,975. 9, ,6.9 4, , , , , ,34.7 6,29.7 5,96.7 9, ,24.6, ,475.0, ,458.3 Other States... 6, , , , ,775.0,000.0 United States , ,76.9 Represents zero. Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not published separately to avoid disclosing individual operations. 639, , , ,500. Chickens and Eggs (December 208) 3

14 Molted as Percent of All Layers on the First of the Month United States: Month January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December... Being molted Molt completed () () () () Molted as Percent of All Layers States and United States: November and December, State Alabama... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Florida... Georgia... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Maryland... Being molted Molt completed November December November December () () () () () () () () Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... Ohio... Oregon... Pennsylvania South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin Other States United States Represents zero. Includes data for States not published in this table. 4 Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

15 Hatchery Production United States: 207 and 208 Item Eggtype Eggs in incubators on December... Chicks hatched during November... Chicks hatched January through November as of 207 (,000) (,000) () 46,780 48, ,690 50,837 46, , Pullets hatched during November for intended placements: Hatchery supply flocks... Cumulative potential placements 78 months earlier , , Broilertype Eggs in incubators on December... Chicks hatched during November... Chicks hatched January through November ,69 774,598 8,788, , ,52 8,875, Pullets hatched during November for intended placements: Hatchery supply flocks... Cumulative potential placements 75 months earlier includes pullet chicks hatched May 207 through April includes pullet chicks hatched August 207 through April ,943 67,755 7,333 70, Chickens and Eggs (December 208) 5

16 EggType Eggs in Incubators on the First of the Month United States: 207 and 208 Item January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December as of 207 (,000) (,000) () 40,53 47,805 5,95 5,969 48,346 46,550 4,403 40,490 40,655 46,50 45,34 46,780 46,750 5,26 56,20 55,0 56,063 50,523 46,390 46,678 50,036 5,647 45,096 50, EggType Chicks Hatched by Month United States: [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Month January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December... By months as of 207 Cumulative as of 207 (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) () (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) () 45,367 48,27 55, 52,762 53,506 49,722 4,862 45,86 42,725 5,495 48,344 46,080 52,33 50,48 58,47 58,986 60,063 53,486 50,752 53,207 49,60 54,960 46, ,367 93,494 49,43 202,75 255,68 305, , ,26 435,85 487, ,690 58,770 52,33 02,46 60,608 29, , ,43 383, ,02 486,72 54, , Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

17 Intended Placements of EggType Pullet Chicks for Hatchery Supply Flocks by Month United States: [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Month January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December... Total... Pullet chicks hatched 208 as of 207 Cumulative potential placements relative to current supply flocks 78 months earlier (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) () (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) , For November 208, includes breeder pullet chicks hatched May 207 through April 208. The 78 months represent the first laying cycle. Molting and additional laying cycles will increase the cumulative potential placements ,02 2,972 2,792 2,80 2,675 2,555 2,675 2,684 2,657 2,652 2,622 2,523 2,354 2,284 2,332 2,330 2,357 2,467 BroilerType Eggs in Incubators on the First of the Month United States: 207 and 208 Item January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December as of 207 (,000) (,000) () 659, , ,52 667, , , , 680, ,08 650,92 65,64 684,69 680, , ,76 683,7 69,30 695, , ,393 67, ,59 647, , Chickens and Eggs (December 208) 7

18 BroilerType Chicks Hatched States and United States: November 207 and 208 State Alabama... Arkansas... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Mississippi... Missouri... During November as of 207 JanuaryNovember as of 207 (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) () (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) () 02,334 8,788 7,0 4,388 20,69 26,202,748 29,280 62,896 26,655 05,58 8,202 6,963 4,208 5,686 24,43 3,8 27,720 64,34 27, ,77,66 922,052 92,820 45,753,359, ,856 39, ,675 77, ,06,84, 95,62,8 45,246,357, ,349 40, ,94 73, , North Carolina... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... Texas... Virginia... California, Tennessee, and West Virginia... 77,636 26,072 7,3 9,638 55,566 22,305 4,624 75,79 25,3 8,640 9,055 55,865 20,88 39, , ,008 86,2 220,27 635, , , ,62 294,850 27,27 22,687 63, ,920 47, Other States... 3,624 32, , ,068 0 United States , ,52 8,788,636 8,875,876 0 Not published separately to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. BroilerType Chicks Hatched by Month United States: [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Month January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December... By months as of 207 Cumulative as of 207 (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) () (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) () 807,49 730,3 88,70 793, ,62 802,00 826, , , ,4 774, , , , ,79 802, ,720 82, , , , , , ,49,537,802 2,356,503 3,49,730 3,970,35 4,772,36 5,598,963 6,43,946 7,220,044 8,04,038 8,788,636 9,66,34 822,829,557,558 2,385,737 3,88,389 4,027,09 4,848,56 5,692,503 6,532,03 7,39,355 8,09,355 8,875, Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

19 Intended Placements of BroilerType Pullet Chicks for Hatchery Supply Flocks by Month and Total: [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Month United States placements January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December... Pullet chicks hatched 208 as of 207 Cumulative potential placements relative to current supply flocks 75 months earlier (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) () (,000 chicks) (,000 chicks) 7,63 7,832 8,262 7,045 8,59 8,258 7,085 8,56 8,240 7,589 7,943 7,594 7,07 7,63 8,2 7,74 8,30 8,344 7,497 8,36 8,286 7,275 7, ,873 69,049 69,495 70,200 70,626 70,737 70,069 70,095 69,567 69,42 70,050 70,95 70,2 70,207 70,625 7,37 7,52 7,223 Annual total... 93,326 Total placements 2 January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... December... 8,764 9,958 0,047 8,592 9,806 9,903 8,598 9,988 0,042 9,605 9,695 9,278 8,736 9,540 9,806 9,360 0,97 0,65 8,867 0,20 9,895 8,977 9, Annual total... 4,276 For November 208, includes breeder pullet chicks hatched August 207 through April United States production of intended placements worldwide. Chickens and Eggs (December 208) 9

20 Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Primary data for the Chickens and Eggs report are from weekly and/or monthly questionnaires sent to producers. An attempt is made to collect information for layer and egg estimates from each known contractor and independent producer who has at least 30,000 table egg layers, flocks of hatchery supply layers, or pullet only operations with at least 500 pullets. Coverage for operations with less than 30,000 table egg layers are estimated each month based on data reported in December. Approximately 500 contractors, independent egg producers, and pullet only operations are contacted each month. Data for broiler hatchery estimates are collected weekly from all broilertype hatcheries that hatch at least one million chicks a year. Data for eggtype hatchery estimates are collected monthly from all eggtype hatcheries that hatch at least 50,000 chicks a year. Estimating Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive estimates from the reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values. Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations are estimated based on similar operations or historical data. NASS regional field offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications and historic trends. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. For chicken hatcheries, chicks hatched consist of all chicks of domesticated breeds including males and chicks destined for hatchery supply flocks and research purposes. Eggs set are eggs in incubators for the purpose of hatching. The relationship of eggtype chicks hatched to chicken inventory and poultry marketings are carefully monitored. The disposition of eggtype chicks hatched prior to placement into the laying flock can vary significantly, which can make comparisons to changes in layer inventory inconsistent over time. Broiler chicks placed are specifically for meat production. Intended placement data reported by leading breeders include pullet chicks expected from eggs sold the preceding month. The breeders in this report account for a large age of replacement pullets for hatchery supply flocks. Production of replacement pullets by these breeders indicates the number of pullets available to hatchery supply layer flocks several months before the pullets will actually move into the laying flocks. Hatchery Supply Flocks include all generations of layers which could lay eggs to supply a hatchery. This includes the generations of parents, grandparents, greatgrandparents, pedigree, etc. Also included are research flocks, vaccine flocks, and specific pathogenfree flocks. The broiler cumulative potential placements are a moving total of the intended placements 75 months earlier. The eggtype cumulative potential placements of 78 months earlier represent the first laying cycle. Molting and additional laying cycles will increase the cumulative potential placements of eggtype hatching flocks. Revision Policy: The previous month's estimates are subject to revision if late reports or corrected data indicates a different level. Additionally, revisions after the monthly report will be made at the end of the marketing year and published in the annual reports of Chickens and Eggs Summary and Hatchery Production Summary. Estimates will also be reviewed for chickens and eggs after data from the 5year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Estimates are based on a census of all known contractors and independent producers who have at least 30,000 table egg layers, flocks of hatchery supply layers, pullet only operations with at least 500 pullets, or operating hatcheries and therefore, have no sampling error. However, estimates are subject to errors such as omission, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. While these errors cannot be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the Root Mean Square Error is shown for selected items in the following table. The Root Mean Square Error is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The Root Mean Square Error for all layers over the past 24 months is 0.7. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 390 million layers by more than 0.7. Chances are 9 out of 0 that the difference will not exceed Chickens and Eggs (December 208)

21 Reliability of Layer and Egg Estimates [Based on data for the past twentyfour months] Item Root mean square error 90 confidence level Difference between first and latest estimate Average Smallest Largest Below latest Months Above latest () () (,000) (,000) (,000) (number) (number) All layers , , (million) (million) (million) Eggs Terms and Definitions of Chickens and Eggs Estimates All Layers includes both table egg and hatching egg flocks regardless of size. Intended Placements are reported by leading breeders. Coverage may not be 00. Includes expected pullet chicks from eggs sold during the preceding month at the rate of 25 pullet chicks per case of 30 dozen eggs. Molted Layers is the same data series as the previously published Forced Molt Layers. Nomenclature changed as of January 205. Chickens and Eggs (December 208) 2

22 Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. inquiries may be sent to Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch... (202) Tony Dorn, Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section... (202) Holly Brenize Poultry Slaughter... (202) Alissa CowellMytar Cold Storage, Capacity of Refrigerated Warehouses... (202) Liana Cuffman Catfish and Trout, Egg Products, Mink, Census of Aquaculture... (202) Fatema Haque Broiler Hatchery, Chicken Hatchery... (202) Kim Linonis Layers, Eggs... (202) Adam Peters Turkey Hatchery, Turkeys Raised... (202) Erica Sadler Cost of Pollination, Honey, Honey Bee Colonies... (202) Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: Both national and state specific reports are available via a free subscription. To setup this free subscription, visit and click on National or State in upper right corner above search box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. Cornell s Mann Library has launched a new website housing NASS s and other agency s archived reports. The new website, All subscriptions containing reports will be sent from the new website, To continue receiving the reports via , you will have to go to the new website, create a new account and resubscribe to the reports. If you need instructions to set up an account or subscribe, they are located at: You should whitelist notifications@usdaesmis.library.cornell.edu in your client to avoid the s going into spam/junk folders. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) , 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or employment activities.) If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online at or at any USDA office, or call (866) to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C , by fax (202) or at program.intake@usda.gov.

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